Why wages are sticky downward




















Wage creep in one job function or area is also believed to have a similar effect on other jobs or job functions. Further, the creep in wages is thought to also have effects on other aspects of the economy.

Notably, foreign currency exchange rates may often overreact in an attempt to account for price stickiness, which can lead to a substantial degree of volatility in exchange rates around the world. This is known as overshooting. Wage stickiness could be based on a number of specific factors, such as difficulty in lowering employee compensation because of long-term contracts, union negotiation, employer conscience, etc.

The theory of stickiness applies outside of just employee wages. It can be applied in situation where the nominal price of something is resistant to decreasing with decreases in economic productivity. In the securities trading arena, price stickiness is when stocks do not move downward commensurate with the overall economy.

Take a look at the wage change distribution at the bottom of the post, and try to explain it without wage stickiness. Is that stable over time? Theoretically, my intuition is that nominal rigidity should have lessened over time with lower percentages of people working in jobs where wage is part of a contract, and higher percentages working in gig and service economy jobs where overall wages have more flexibility. My last one of these before I go and do real work today. This one looks at data across a number of countries using payroll records and pay slips.

The relevant portion:. Collectively, they make an important point: except in extreme circumstances when nominal wage cuts are either legally prohibited or rendered beside the point by very high inflation , nominal wage cuts from one year to the next appear quite common, typically affecting 15—25 percent of job stayers in periods of low inflation.

Consistent with this picture of downward flexibility, nominal wage freezes are found to be much less frequent, typically affecting less than 8 percent of job stayers, and there is little evidence for large accumulations of wage freezes in times of low inflation.

None of this denies the existence of some nominal wage stickiness. Like most of our readers, we have our salaries set in nominal terms and typically see them adjusted only once a year. But does it follow from such apparent wage stickiness that nominal wages cannot be cut, even when inefficient layoffs or hiring decisions are the alternative? In light of the emerging evidence from more accurate wage data, we will conclude that the assumption that nominal wages cannot be cut needs to be reconsidered.

Wages are not rigid, and do adjust in both directions. But more slowly than NGDP. I mean, I agree that wages are sticky over some time period. That seems pretty significant, no? Honestly, when I went looking this morning, I was expecting overwhelming evidence showing downward wage stickiness, that was certainly the impression I took away from my macro classes, so I was pretty surprised to find fairly limited empirical support.

Perhaps their weekly wage falls due to less hours worked, but that has very different implications. Agree that there is a big difference in having hours cut vs.

However, I think it is important to point out that it appears the data sources for both papers includes salaried as well as hourly workers. Like I said, was greatly surprised to see this.

The most I was thinking I might see was a decrease in wage stickiness over time. Would be interested to see more empirical data that supports the wage stickiness hypothesis. It differs from the previous paper I linked to, in that this one includes job changers, not just people that had decreases while staying in the same job.

Still, seems to provide some evidence that wage stickiness might not be quite as prevalent as some models assume. A firm may face a legal minimum wage and be unable to cut wages below the national statutory minimum wage. Trade unions. Trade unions will resist wage cuts. Also, they are more likely to be concerned about the pay of those in work, than those who are unemployed and not in a trade union. Costs of hiring and firing workers.

Labour is not the same kind of commodity as buing inputs of raw material. Once a worker is trained and used to working, a manager will try to avoid the emotion of sacking a worker or cutting wages because of the human costs involved.

Annual contracts. Wages are often set a year at a time. In the long-term, wages may be more flexible. Deflation and nominal rigidity.

Sticky wages and Keynesianism Sticky wages and nominal wage rigidity was an important concept in J. In the s, the great depression saw a period of deflation and rapid rise in unemployment However, Keynes did not see it as a purely supply side problem. Sticky wages and Classical economics. Evaluation of sticky wages Nominal wages can fall.

In the Great Depression, nominal wages were cut in many manufacturing industries. Though, prices do tend to be more flexible than wages. This study found wage stickiness is more pronounced than price stickiness. Related Labour market slack. We use cookies on our website to collect relevant data to enhance your visit. Our partners, such as Google use cookies for ad personalization and measurement.

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